Securing AGI Deployment and Mitigating Safety Risks

Roshni Kumari

As artificial general intelligence (AGI) systems near deployment readiness, they pose unprecedented challenges in ensuring safe, secure, and aligned operations. Without robust safety measures, AGI can pose significant risks, including misalignment with human values, malicious misuse, adversarial attacks, and data breaches.

Reviewer's Comments

Reviewer's Comments

Arrow
Arrow
Arrow

Natalia Perez-Campanero

The proposal seems very ambitious. It does a good job of summarizing the safety risks of AGI, but is a little unclear on which of these the proposed solution would be targeting and how. To develop further, I would recommend focusing on one solution/use case and developing it further, thinking through implementation. Providing a clear definition of AGI would help in setting a foundation for a more concrete discussion of the safety risks and potential solutions/applications.

Shivam Raval

The paper describes a proposal for SentinelAI, a framework for securing AGI deployment and mitigating safety risks. The proposal identifies five different challenges and poses potential solutions that are based on techniques from existing literature. The proposal highlights an important need that would arise as autonomous systems become more and more capable, however, since it is based on 2027 AGI prediction, it might be realized in the near term. It might also be helpful if what an AGI system is comprised of, and some justification for how the existing approaches are going to be valid against a vastly capable system or how they can be modified to form the different components of SentinelAI. Some results using a simulated strong and capable advanced system (eg. o3) can be monitored using other strong or even less capable systems (a usual setup in oversight and control literature) can strengthen the proposal.

Pablo Sanzo

The paper does a good attempt at summarizing the different AI safety risks. It would have benefitted from proposing a definition for AGI, since the term is used broadly in the paper.

When it comes to the solution proposed, it is appreciated that several layers are explored, as to reduce the risks posed by AGI. The link to "Multi-Agent Simulation" seems broken (https://github.com/SentinelAI-MultiAgentSim).

I would have appreciated a deeper dive into how are frontier AI labs currently solving these challenges, and how the proposed solution can fit and be deployed within the industry (e.g. what incentives to use).

I encourage the team to continue working in this direction and, as soon as more results are available, to show a comparison between an "out-of-the-box" AI model, and one that has been risk-mitigated by SentinelAI.

Cite this work

@misc {

title={

Securing AGI Deployment and Mitigating Safety Risks

},

author={

Roshni Kumari

},

date={

1/20/25

},

organization={Apart Research},

note={Research submission to the research sprint hosted by Apart.},

howpublished={https://apartresearch.com}

}

Jul 28, 2025

Local Learning Coefficients Predict Developmental Milestones During Group Relative Policy Optimization

In this work, we investigate the emergence of capabilities in reinforcement learning (RL) by framing them as developmental phase transitions. We propose that the individual components of the reward function can serve as direct observables for these transitions, avoiding the need for complex, derived metrics. To test this, we trained a language model on an arithmetic task using Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and analyzed its learning trajectory with the Local Learning Coefficient (LLC) from Singular Learning Theory. Our findings show a strong qualitative correlation between spikes in the LLC—indicating a phase transition—and significant shifts in the model's behavior, as reflected by changes in specific reward components for correctness and conciseness. This demonstrates a more direct and scalable method for monitoring capability acquisition, offering a valuable proof-of-concept for developmental interpretability and AI safety. To facilitate reproducibility, we make our code available at \url{github.com/ilijalichkovski/apart-physics}.

Read More

Jul 28, 2025

AI agentic system epidemiology

As AI systems scale into decentralized, multi-agent deployments, emergent vulnerabilities challenge our ability to evaluate and manage systemic risks.

In this work, we adapt classical epidemiological modeling (specifically SEIR compartment models) to model adversarial behavior propagation in AI agents.

By solving systems of ODEs describing the systems with physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), we analyze stable and unstable equilibria, bifurcation points, and the effectiveness of interventions.

We estimate parameters from real-world data (e.g., adversarial success rates, detection latency, patching delays) and simulate attack propagation scenarios across 8 sectors (enterprise, retail, trading, development, customer service, academia, medical, and critical infrastructure AI tools).

Our results demonstrate how agent population dynamics interact with architectural and policy design interventions to stabilize the system.

This framework bridges concepts from dynamical systems and cybersecurity to offer a proactive, quantitative toolbox on AI safety.

We argue that epidemic-style monitoring and tools grounded in interpretable, physics-aligned dynamics can serve as early warning systems for cascading AI agentic failures.

Read More

Jul 28, 2025

Momentum–Point-Perplexity Mechanics in Large Language Models

This work analyzes the hidden states of twenty different open-source transformer language models, ranging from small to medium size and covering five major architectures. The key discovery is that these models show signs of "energy conservation" during inference—meaning a certain measure combining changes in hidden states and token unpredictability stays almost constant as the model processes text.

The authors developed a new framework inspired by physics to jointly analyze how hidden states and prediction confidence evolve over time. They propose that transformers' behavior can be understood as following certain mechanical principles, much like how physical systems follow rules like conservation of energy.

Their experiments show that this conserved quantity varies very little between tokens, especially in untrained (random-weight) models, where it's extremely stable. In pre-trained models, the average energy drops more due to training, but there are larger relative fluctuations from token to token.

They also introduce a new method, based on this framework, for controlling transformer outputs by "steering" the hidden states. This method achieves good results—producing completions rated as higher in semantic quality, while still maintaining the same kind of energy stability.

Overall, the findings suggest that viewing transformer models through the lens of physical mechanics gives new, principled ways to interpret and control their behavior. It also highlights a key difference: random models behave more like balanced systems, while trained models make quicker, more decisive state changes at the cost of less precise energy conservation.

Read More

Jul 28, 2025

Local Learning Coefficients Predict Developmental Milestones During Group Relative Policy Optimization

In this work, we investigate the emergence of capabilities in reinforcement learning (RL) by framing them as developmental phase transitions. We propose that the individual components of the reward function can serve as direct observables for these transitions, avoiding the need for complex, derived metrics. To test this, we trained a language model on an arithmetic task using Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and analyzed its learning trajectory with the Local Learning Coefficient (LLC) from Singular Learning Theory. Our findings show a strong qualitative correlation between spikes in the LLC—indicating a phase transition—and significant shifts in the model's behavior, as reflected by changes in specific reward components for correctness and conciseness. This demonstrates a more direct and scalable method for monitoring capability acquisition, offering a valuable proof-of-concept for developmental interpretability and AI safety. To facilitate reproducibility, we make our code available at \url{github.com/ilijalichkovski/apart-physics}.

Read More

Jul 28, 2025

AI agentic system epidemiology

As AI systems scale into decentralized, multi-agent deployments, emergent vulnerabilities challenge our ability to evaluate and manage systemic risks.

In this work, we adapt classical epidemiological modeling (specifically SEIR compartment models) to model adversarial behavior propagation in AI agents.

By solving systems of ODEs describing the systems with physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), we analyze stable and unstable equilibria, bifurcation points, and the effectiveness of interventions.

We estimate parameters from real-world data (e.g., adversarial success rates, detection latency, patching delays) and simulate attack propagation scenarios across 8 sectors (enterprise, retail, trading, development, customer service, academia, medical, and critical infrastructure AI tools).

Our results demonstrate how agent population dynamics interact with architectural and policy design interventions to stabilize the system.

This framework bridges concepts from dynamical systems and cybersecurity to offer a proactive, quantitative toolbox on AI safety.

We argue that epidemic-style monitoring and tools grounded in interpretable, physics-aligned dynamics can serve as early warning systems for cascading AI agentic failures.

Read More

Jul 28, 2025

Local Learning Coefficients Predict Developmental Milestones During Group Relative Policy Optimization

In this work, we investigate the emergence of capabilities in reinforcement learning (RL) by framing them as developmental phase transitions. We propose that the individual components of the reward function can serve as direct observables for these transitions, avoiding the need for complex, derived metrics. To test this, we trained a language model on an arithmetic task using Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and analyzed its learning trajectory with the Local Learning Coefficient (LLC) from Singular Learning Theory. Our findings show a strong qualitative correlation between spikes in the LLC—indicating a phase transition—and significant shifts in the model's behavior, as reflected by changes in specific reward components for correctness and conciseness. This demonstrates a more direct and scalable method for monitoring capability acquisition, offering a valuable proof-of-concept for developmental interpretability and AI safety. To facilitate reproducibility, we make our code available at \url{github.com/ilijalichkovski/apart-physics}.

Read More

Jul 28, 2025

AI agentic system epidemiology

As AI systems scale into decentralized, multi-agent deployments, emergent vulnerabilities challenge our ability to evaluate and manage systemic risks.

In this work, we adapt classical epidemiological modeling (specifically SEIR compartment models) to model adversarial behavior propagation in AI agents.

By solving systems of ODEs describing the systems with physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), we analyze stable and unstable equilibria, bifurcation points, and the effectiveness of interventions.

We estimate parameters from real-world data (e.g., adversarial success rates, detection latency, patching delays) and simulate attack propagation scenarios across 8 sectors (enterprise, retail, trading, development, customer service, academia, medical, and critical infrastructure AI tools).

Our results demonstrate how agent population dynamics interact with architectural and policy design interventions to stabilize the system.

This framework bridges concepts from dynamical systems and cybersecurity to offer a proactive, quantitative toolbox on AI safety.

We argue that epidemic-style monitoring and tools grounded in interpretable, physics-aligned dynamics can serve as early warning systems for cascading AI agentic failures.

Read More

Jul 28, 2025

Local Learning Coefficients Predict Developmental Milestones During Group Relative Policy Optimization

In this work, we investigate the emergence of capabilities in reinforcement learning (RL) by framing them as developmental phase transitions. We propose that the individual components of the reward function can serve as direct observables for these transitions, avoiding the need for complex, derived metrics. To test this, we trained a language model on an arithmetic task using Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and analyzed its learning trajectory with the Local Learning Coefficient (LLC) from Singular Learning Theory. Our findings show a strong qualitative correlation between spikes in the LLC—indicating a phase transition—and significant shifts in the model's behavior, as reflected by changes in specific reward components for correctness and conciseness. This demonstrates a more direct and scalable method for monitoring capability acquisition, offering a valuable proof-of-concept for developmental interpretability and AI safety. To facilitate reproducibility, we make our code available at \url{github.com/ilijalichkovski/apart-physics}.

Read More

Jul 28, 2025

AI agentic system epidemiology

As AI systems scale into decentralized, multi-agent deployments, emergent vulnerabilities challenge our ability to evaluate and manage systemic risks.

In this work, we adapt classical epidemiological modeling (specifically SEIR compartment models) to model adversarial behavior propagation in AI agents.

By solving systems of ODEs describing the systems with physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), we analyze stable and unstable equilibria, bifurcation points, and the effectiveness of interventions.

We estimate parameters from real-world data (e.g., adversarial success rates, detection latency, patching delays) and simulate attack propagation scenarios across 8 sectors (enterprise, retail, trading, development, customer service, academia, medical, and critical infrastructure AI tools).

Our results demonstrate how agent population dynamics interact with architectural and policy design interventions to stabilize the system.

This framework bridges concepts from dynamical systems and cybersecurity to offer a proactive, quantitative toolbox on AI safety.

We argue that epidemic-style monitoring and tools grounded in interpretable, physics-aligned dynamics can serve as early warning systems for cascading AI agentic failures.

Read More

This work was done during one weekend by research workshop participants and does not represent the work of Apart Research.
This work was done during one weekend by research workshop participants and does not represent the work of Apart Research.