Apr 27, 2026
Hydra Watch: Federated wastewater pathogen surveillance with foundation-model embeddings
Divya Sitani, Mohammed ElSayed, Frida Arrey, Hanna Schutz, Sascha Held
🏆 Track 2 Winner: Pandemic Early Warning
HydraWatch: Embedding-based wastewater pathogen surveillance for federated hospital networks
A reference-free, privacy-preserving wastewater pathogen surveillance pipeline for federated hospital networks.
Each hospital sequences its own sewershed, embeds reads with DNABERT-2 (768-dim), and trains a local TE-VAE (Transformer-encoder VAE) on the classified pool to define "site-normal." A hybrid score (reconstruction error plus latent Mahalanobis) flags anomalous reads in the unclassified pool, the blind spot where novel pathogens hide because reference-based tools like Kraken2 can't see them.
Anomalies are clustered with HDBSCAN and tracked across timepoints.
Trajectory analysis flags four patterns: emerging (rising over time, including signals that appear only at the latest timepoint), persistent, transient, and declining. The early-warning signal is anything new or accelerating. Cross-site detection happens by query, not data: a hospital sends a single 768-dim cluster centroid (around 3 KB) to peer sites, who match locally and reply. Raw reads and read-level embeddings never leave the site, sidestepping the data-sharing agreements that typically slow multi-site surveillance.
Pilot: three timepoints from one NY hospital sewershed (CASPER PRJNA1247874). One dominant emerging cluster (cluster 6) grew from 285 reads at T1 to 3,506 reads at T3 (×12.3 growth), driving the early-warning signal. BLAST anchoring of representative reads is queued.
Scaling: 5 NY hospitals, then Northeast region, then CDC. Same cluster signature at multiple sites equals outbreak signal, ideally surfaced before clinical case counts rise.
Stack: DNABERT-2(Hugging Face + PyTorch), TE-VAE (TensorFlow), HDBSCAN, BLAST. ESM-2 multi-view piloted on one timepoint; METAGENE-1 is a clean upgrade path.
Impressive hackathon submission with high potential impact when fully developed and deployed. Submission includes a design, prototype, and proof-of-concept for federated detection of pathogen incidence dynamics via foundation model embeddings of hospital wastewater sequences. Only post-embedding centroid clusters are shared between hospitals, allowing for quick data sharing and tracking of pathogen spread, avoiding delays stemming from data privacy regulations. Additionally, foundation model embedding clusters can identify incidence dynamics of "unclassified" potential pathogens for which reference sequences do not yet exist in current database-based pathogen monitoring systems.
The included code repository with submission slide deck help clearly explain the project and results. The gap that is filled by this technology is clear.
Reference-free anomaly detection on the Kraken2-unclassified pool (the actual surveillance blind spot) combined with a federated-by-query architecture that never moves raw reads is the most technically sophisticated work in the batch. The ×12.3 growth in cluster 6 is a compelling signal, but the load-bearing next step is BLAST anchoring: an embedding-space trajectory without biological identity is a watch-list item, not a confirmed finding. Swap in METAGENE-1, get the BLAST results, and run one real two-site centroid-query exchange to activate the architecture you've designed.
I thought the authors could benefit from demonstrating more clearly why the gap of unclassified samples matters from a biosecurity stand-point. The authors note that approaches like Kraken-2 "works very well for organisms that already have well-sequenced close relatives in the reference
database — known pathogens, well-studied commensals, common viruses. It works poorly for everything else." It's not obvious to me what that "everything else" is that presents a significant concern, particularly when the authors acknowledge the approach doesn't identify any specific organism. Even with the comparison against baseline rates, seems like that would potentially introduce a variety of false positives, since it may simply be picking up some new, non-pathogenic bacteria.
I also was a bit confused by the pilot. My understanding is the hackathon is effectively for only a weekend; so how did the authors have time to conduct a pilot study over a couple months?
I did appreciate the author's discussion and inclusion of implementation details on scaling up multiple levels of surveiliance.
Cite this work
@misc {
title={
(HckPrj) Hydra Watch: Federated wastewater pathogen surveillance with foundation-model embeddings
},
author={
Divya Sitani, Mohammed ElSayed, Frida Arrey, Hanna Schutz, Sascha Held
},
date={
4/27/26
},
organization={Apart Research},
note={Research submission to the research sprint hosted by Apart.},
howpublished={https://apartresearch.com}
}


