Jun 14, 2025
Malicious Defense: Red Teaming Phase 0 of “A Narrow Path”
Parv Mahajan, MacGyver Rawson
We use an iterative scenario red-teaming process to discuss key failures in the strict regulatory regime outlined in Phase 0 of “A Narrow Path,” and describe how a sufficiently insightful malicious company may achieve ASI in 20 years with moderate likelihood. We argue that such single-minded companies may easily avoid restriction through government-enforced opacity. Specifically, we outline defense contracting and national security work as a key sector of ASI vulnerability because of its tendencies towards compartmentalization, internationalization, and obfuscation, which provide ample opportunity to evade a governance scheme.
Tolga Bilge
Interesting exercise, though didn't engage much with policy details and implementation.
Dave Kasten
Overall appreciated your scenario-based approach. I wish you had given more details about the scenarios and the specifics of why you think these objections overcome the implementation of the Narrow Path plan, instead of being mitigators to effectiveness. Nonetheless, appreciated the discussion, particularly around compartmentalization and its risks.
Cite this work
@misc {
title={
@misc {
},
author={
Parv Mahajan, MacGyver Rawson
},
date={
6/14/25
},
organization={Apart Research},
note={Research submission to the research sprint hosted by Apart.},
howpublished={https://apartresearch.com}
}
