Red Teaming A Narrow Path - GeDiCa v2

Camille Truchot, Diego Dorn

While the 'Narrow Path' policy confronts the essential risk of recursive AI self-improvement, its proposed enforcement architecture relies on trust in a fundamentally non-cooperative and competitive domain. This strategic misalignment creates exploitable vulnerabilities.

Our analysis details six such weaknesses, including lack of verification, enforcement, and trust mechanisms, hardware-based circumvention via custom ASICs (e.g., Etched), issues with ‘direct uses’ of AI to improve AI, and a static compute cap that perversely incentivizes opaque and potentially risky algorithmic innovation.

To remedy these flaws, we propose a suite of mechanisms designed for a trustless environment. Key proposals include: replacing raw FLOPs with a benchmark-adjusted 'Effective FLOPs' (eFLOPs) metric to account for algorithmic gains; mandating secure R&D enclaves auditable via zero-knowledge proofs to protect intellectual property while ensuring compliance; and a 'Portfolio Licensing' framework to govern aggregate, combinatorial capabilities.

These solutions aim to participate in the effort to transform the policy's intent into a more robust, technically-grounded, and enforceable standard.

Reviewer's Comments

Reviewer's Comments

Arrow
Arrow
Arrow

Tolga Bilge

Good identification of some potential weaknesses, such as not addressing hardware specifically. Includes sensible policy proposals to address weaknesses.

Tolga Bilge

Some criticisms I think didn't really make sense

Solutions are quite good

Cite this work

@misc {

title={

@misc {

},

author={

Camille Truchot, Diego Dorn

},

date={

6/14/25

},

organization={Apart Research},

note={Research submission to the research sprint hosted by Apart.},

howpublished={https://apartresearch.com}

}

May 20, 2025

EscalAtion: Assessing Multi-Agent Risks in Military Contexts

Our project investigates the potential risks and implications of integrating multiple autonomous AI agents within national defense strategies, exploring whether these agents tend to escalate or deescalate conflict situations. Through a simulation that models real-world international relations scenarios, our preliminary results indicate that AI models exhibit a tendency to escalate conflicts, posing a significant threat to maintaining peace and preventing uncontrollable military confrontations. The experiment and subsequent evaluations are designed to reflect established international relations theories and frameworks, aiming to understand the implications of autonomous decision-making in military contexts comprehensively and unbiasedly.

Read More

Apr 28, 2025

The Early Economic Impacts of Transformative AI: A Focus on Temporal Coherence

We investigate the economic potential of Transformative AI, focusing on "temporal coherence"—the ability to maintain goal-directed behavior over time—as a critical, yet underexplored, factor in task automation. We argue that temporal coherence represents a significant bottleneck distinct from computational complexity. Using a Large Language Model to estimate the 'effective time' (a proxy for temporal coherence) needed for humans to complete remote O*NET tasks, the study reveals a non-linear link between AI coherence and automation potential. A key finding is that an 8-hour coherence capability could potentially automate around 80-84\% of the analyzed remote tasks.

Read More

Mar 31, 2025

Model Models: Simulating a Trusted Monitor

We offer initial investigations into whether the untrusted model can 'simulate' the trusted monitor: is U able to successfully guess what suspicion score T will assign in the APPS setting? We also offer a clean, modular codebase which we hope can be used to streamline future research into this question.

Read More

May 20, 2025

EscalAtion: Assessing Multi-Agent Risks in Military Contexts

Our project investigates the potential risks and implications of integrating multiple autonomous AI agents within national defense strategies, exploring whether these agents tend to escalate or deescalate conflict situations. Through a simulation that models real-world international relations scenarios, our preliminary results indicate that AI models exhibit a tendency to escalate conflicts, posing a significant threat to maintaining peace and preventing uncontrollable military confrontations. The experiment and subsequent evaluations are designed to reflect established international relations theories and frameworks, aiming to understand the implications of autonomous decision-making in military contexts comprehensively and unbiasedly.

Read More

Apr 28, 2025

The Early Economic Impacts of Transformative AI: A Focus on Temporal Coherence

We investigate the economic potential of Transformative AI, focusing on "temporal coherence"—the ability to maintain goal-directed behavior over time—as a critical, yet underexplored, factor in task automation. We argue that temporal coherence represents a significant bottleneck distinct from computational complexity. Using a Large Language Model to estimate the 'effective time' (a proxy for temporal coherence) needed for humans to complete remote O*NET tasks, the study reveals a non-linear link between AI coherence and automation potential. A key finding is that an 8-hour coherence capability could potentially automate around 80-84\% of the analyzed remote tasks.

Read More

May 20, 2025

EscalAtion: Assessing Multi-Agent Risks in Military Contexts

Our project investigates the potential risks and implications of integrating multiple autonomous AI agents within national defense strategies, exploring whether these agents tend to escalate or deescalate conflict situations. Through a simulation that models real-world international relations scenarios, our preliminary results indicate that AI models exhibit a tendency to escalate conflicts, posing a significant threat to maintaining peace and preventing uncontrollable military confrontations. The experiment and subsequent evaluations are designed to reflect established international relations theories and frameworks, aiming to understand the implications of autonomous decision-making in military contexts comprehensively and unbiasedly.

Read More

Apr 28, 2025

The Early Economic Impacts of Transformative AI: A Focus on Temporal Coherence

We investigate the economic potential of Transformative AI, focusing on "temporal coherence"—the ability to maintain goal-directed behavior over time—as a critical, yet underexplored, factor in task automation. We argue that temporal coherence represents a significant bottleneck distinct from computational complexity. Using a Large Language Model to estimate the 'effective time' (a proxy for temporal coherence) needed for humans to complete remote O*NET tasks, the study reveals a non-linear link between AI coherence and automation potential. A key finding is that an 8-hour coherence capability could potentially automate around 80-84\% of the analyzed remote tasks.

Read More

May 20, 2025

EscalAtion: Assessing Multi-Agent Risks in Military Contexts

Our project investigates the potential risks and implications of integrating multiple autonomous AI agents within national defense strategies, exploring whether these agents tend to escalate or deescalate conflict situations. Through a simulation that models real-world international relations scenarios, our preliminary results indicate that AI models exhibit a tendency to escalate conflicts, posing a significant threat to maintaining peace and preventing uncontrollable military confrontations. The experiment and subsequent evaluations are designed to reflect established international relations theories and frameworks, aiming to understand the implications of autonomous decision-making in military contexts comprehensively and unbiasedly.

Read More

Apr 28, 2025

The Early Economic Impacts of Transformative AI: A Focus on Temporal Coherence

We investigate the economic potential of Transformative AI, focusing on "temporal coherence"—the ability to maintain goal-directed behavior over time—as a critical, yet underexplored, factor in task automation. We argue that temporal coherence represents a significant bottleneck distinct from computational complexity. Using a Large Language Model to estimate the 'effective time' (a proxy for temporal coherence) needed for humans to complete remote O*NET tasks, the study reveals a non-linear link between AI coherence and automation potential. A key finding is that an 8-hour coherence capability could potentially automate around 80-84\% of the analyzed remote tasks.

Read More

This work was done during one weekend by research workshop participants and does not represent the work of Apart Research.
This work was done during one weekend by research workshop participants and does not represent the work of Apart Research.