Mar 30, 2025
Schelling coordination via agentic loops
Olli Järviniemi, Meeri Kuoppala, Callum-Luis Kindred
🏆 2nd place by peer review
Capability to collude undermines untrusted monitoring protocols. We propose a novel way to evaluate acausal coordination capabilities of LLMs via repeated sampling in causally separated agentic loops. We provide an implementation and run evaluations on Claude 3.7 Sonnet on coordinating on Wikipedia articles. We find that while Sonnet is able to enumerate dozens of Schelling coordination strategies, it is inconsistent on its selection of strategy and performs poorly in more adversarial settings. Our framework is flexible, supporting various modifications to the experimental setup, and we propose several directions for further research. Implementation can be found at https://github.com/ollijarviniemi/Schelling_loop/.
Reviewer's Comments
Reviewer's Comments





No reviews are available yet
Cite this work
@misc {
title={
Schelling coordination via agentic loops
},
author={
Olli Järviniemi, Meeri Kuoppala, Callum-Luis Kindred
},
date={
3/30/25
},
organization={Apart Research},
note={Research submission to the research sprint hosted by Apart.},
howpublished={https://apartresearch.com}
}
Recent Projects
View All
View All
Feb 2, 2026
Markov Chain Lock Watermarking: Provably Secure Authentication for LLM Outputs
We present Markov Chain Lock (MCL) watermarking, a cryptographically secure framework for authenticating LLM outputs. MCL constrains token generation to follow a secret Markov chain over SHA-256 vocabulary partitions. Using doubly stochastic transition matrices, we prove four theoretical guarantees: (1) exponentially decaying false positive rates via Hoeffding bounds, (2) graceful degradation under adversarial modification with closed-form expected scores, (3) information-theoretic security without key access, and (4) bounded quality loss via KL divergence. Experiments on 173 Wikipedia prompts using Llama-3.2-3B demonstrate that the optimal 7-state soft cycle configuration achieves 100\% detection, 0\% FPR, and perplexity 4.20. Robustness testing confirms detection above 96\% even with 30\% word replacement. The framework enables $O(n)$ model-free detection, addressing EU AI Act Article 50 requirements. Code available at \url{https://github.com/ChenghengLi/MCLW}
Read More
Feb 2, 2026
Prototyping an Embedded Off-Switch for AI Compute
This project prototypes an embedded off-switch for AI accelerators. The security block requires periodic cryptographic authorization to operate: the chip generates a nonce, an external authority signs it, and the chip verifies the signature before granting time-limited permission. Without valid authorization, outputs are gated to zero. The design was implemented in HardCaml and validated in simulation.
Read More
Feb 2, 2026
Fingerprinting All AI Cluster I/O Without Mutually Trusted Processors
We design and simulate a "border patrol" device for generating cryptographic evidence of data traffic entering and leaving an AI cluster, while eliminating the specific analog and steganographic side-channels that post-hoc verification can not close. The device eliminates the need for any mutually trusted logic, while still meeting the security needs of the prover and verifier.
Read More
Feb 2, 2026
Markov Chain Lock Watermarking: Provably Secure Authentication for LLM Outputs
We present Markov Chain Lock (MCL) watermarking, a cryptographically secure framework for authenticating LLM outputs. MCL constrains token generation to follow a secret Markov chain over SHA-256 vocabulary partitions. Using doubly stochastic transition matrices, we prove four theoretical guarantees: (1) exponentially decaying false positive rates via Hoeffding bounds, (2) graceful degradation under adversarial modification with closed-form expected scores, (3) information-theoretic security without key access, and (4) bounded quality loss via KL divergence. Experiments on 173 Wikipedia prompts using Llama-3.2-3B demonstrate that the optimal 7-state soft cycle configuration achieves 100\% detection, 0\% FPR, and perplexity 4.20. Robustness testing confirms detection above 96\% even with 30\% word replacement. The framework enables $O(n)$ model-free detection, addressing EU AI Act Article 50 requirements. Code available at \url{https://github.com/ChenghengLi/MCLW}
Read More
Feb 2, 2026
Prototyping an Embedded Off-Switch for AI Compute
This project prototypes an embedded off-switch for AI accelerators. The security block requires periodic cryptographic authorization to operate: the chip generates a nonce, an external authority signs it, and the chip verifies the signature before granting time-limited permission. Without valid authorization, outputs are gated to zero. The design was implemented in HardCaml and validated in simulation.
Read More
Feb 2, 2026
Markov Chain Lock Watermarking: Provably Secure Authentication for LLM Outputs
We present Markov Chain Lock (MCL) watermarking, a cryptographically secure framework for authenticating LLM outputs. MCL constrains token generation to follow a secret Markov chain over SHA-256 vocabulary partitions. Using doubly stochastic transition matrices, we prove four theoretical guarantees: (1) exponentially decaying false positive rates via Hoeffding bounds, (2) graceful degradation under adversarial modification with closed-form expected scores, (3) information-theoretic security without key access, and (4) bounded quality loss via KL divergence. Experiments on 173 Wikipedia prompts using Llama-3.2-3B demonstrate that the optimal 7-state soft cycle configuration achieves 100\% detection, 0\% FPR, and perplexity 4.20. Robustness testing confirms detection above 96\% even with 30\% word replacement. The framework enables $O(n)$ model-free detection, addressing EU AI Act Article 50 requirements. Code available at \url{https://github.com/ChenghengLi/MCLW}
Read More
Feb 2, 2026
Prototyping an Embedded Off-Switch for AI Compute
This project prototypes an embedded off-switch for AI accelerators. The security block requires periodic cryptographic authorization to operate: the chip generates a nonce, an external authority signs it, and the chip verifies the signature before granting time-limited permission. Without valid authorization, outputs are gated to zero. The design was implemented in HardCaml and validated in simulation.
Read More
Feb 2, 2026
Markov Chain Lock Watermarking: Provably Secure Authentication for LLM Outputs
We present Markov Chain Lock (MCL) watermarking, a cryptographically secure framework for authenticating LLM outputs. MCL constrains token generation to follow a secret Markov chain over SHA-256 vocabulary partitions. Using doubly stochastic transition matrices, we prove four theoretical guarantees: (1) exponentially decaying false positive rates via Hoeffding bounds, (2) graceful degradation under adversarial modification with closed-form expected scores, (3) information-theoretic security without key access, and (4) bounded quality loss via KL divergence. Experiments on 173 Wikipedia prompts using Llama-3.2-3B demonstrate that the optimal 7-state soft cycle configuration achieves 100\% detection, 0\% FPR, and perplexity 4.20. Robustness testing confirms detection above 96\% even with 30\% word replacement. The framework enables $O(n)$ model-free detection, addressing EU AI Act Article 50 requirements. Code available at \url{https://github.com/ChenghengLi/MCLW}
Read More
Feb 2, 2026
Prototyping an Embedded Off-Switch for AI Compute
This project prototypes an embedded off-switch for AI accelerators. The security block requires periodic cryptographic authorization to operate: the chip generates a nonce, an external authority signs it, and the chip verifies the signature before granting time-limited permission. Without valid authorization, outputs are gated to zero. The design was implemented in HardCaml and validated in simulation.
Read More

Sign up to stay updated on the
latest news, research, and events

Sign up to stay updated on the
latest news, research, and events

Sign up to stay updated on the
latest news, research, and events

Sign up to stay updated on the
latest news, research, and events