Who Watches the Watchers? Governance Agency in AI Verification and Monitoring Regimes
Parveen Sheikh, Meenakshi Neeharika Mangipudi
As the world debates an "IAEA for AI," the conversation has focused on what to monitor and how, and has skipped the prior political question of who holds verification authority, who can contest it, and who carries its burden. This project argues that verification is not a neutral technical instrument but a structure that distributes power. We bring an interdisciplinary lens to the question, pairing a quantitative analysis of 128 historical arms-control agreements from the Alva Myrdal Centre database with a qualitative framework we call Governance Agency, built on three measured dimensions, Access, Recourse, and Burden, and two qualitative ones the data cannot capture, legitimacy and exit. We find that direct verification is rare, that recourse is the least-developed dimension, and that monitoring authority and compliance burden rise together while the power to challenge does not. Reading these patterns through history and power, and through the contrast between the NPT and the CWC, we show that asymmetric verification is not only unjust but unstable, because it makes defection rational. We argue that an inclusive verification regime, one that gives middle powers and the Global South real authority rather than tokenism, is necessary if humanity is to govern AI together.
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Cite this work
@misc {
title={
(HckPrj) Who Watches the Watchers? Governance Agency in AI Verification and Monitoring Regimes
},
author={
Parveen Sheikh, Meenakshi Neeharika Mangipudi
},
date={
},
organization={Apart Research},
note={Research submission to the research sprint hosted by Apart.},
howpublished={https://apartresearch.com}
}


