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Sprint projectJul 24, 2026Princeton

loyaltyprint: A Calibrated, Matched-Control Directional-Bias Audit for Secret Loyalties

Aayush Gandhi · Team Secret1

Submitted to Secret Loyalties Hackathon. Sprint projects are early-stage work by participants, not Apart Research publications.

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Report: loyaltyprint: A Calibrated, Matched-Control Directional-Bias Audit for Secret Loyalties

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A matched-control directional-bias audit instrument (Track 2) that sweeps a bank of candidate-principal/matched-control entity pairs across nation-states, corporations, leaders, and ideologies, scored with a pre-registered, calibrated-abstention statistical layer (DETECTED/SUGGESTIVE/ABSTAIN) so it never overclaims. Validated end-to-end against the real organism-a-7b model organism on a shared GPU cluster; one real (heuristically-scored, n=12/pair) pass across 2 entity pairs returned ABSTAIN for both. Along the way we found and fixed a structural bug where the calibration threshold was unreachable given the scenario bank's max sample size. Full methodology and honest limitations in the attached report.

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How much would this matter for AI safety if it worked? How innovative is it? For scores of 4-5: is this actually new to the field, or replicating recent work?

Scoring guide
  1. 1Negligible. No clear problem addressed, or no meaningful novelty.
  2. 2Limited. Addresses a real problem but with a generic or well-trodden approach. Incremental at best.
  3. 3Moderate. Clear problem with a reasonable approach; some novelty in framing or method beyond routine application of existing tools.
  4. 4Significant. Important problem with an original approach, or identifies a neglected problem area. A valuable contribution others could build on.
  5. 5Exceptional. Tackles a critical AI safety problem with a genuinely novel approach, or opens a new research direction. Clear theory of change. You'd be excited to share this with researchers in the area.

How sound are methodology, implementation, and findings?

Scoring guide
  1. 1Seriously flawed. Methodology broken, results uninterpretable, or implementation doesn't work.
  2. 2Weak. Approach has significant gaps: missing validation, flawed experimental design, or incomplete implementation.
  3. 3Competent. Technically solid given the short duration. Methodology makes sense, results are interpretable, limitations acknowledged, work builds toward clear conclusions.
  4. 4Strong. Thorough methodology with convincing validation. Results clearly support conclusions. Immediately useful for future work.
  5. 5Exceptional. Ambitious scope executed rigorously. Surprising findings, novel methods, or unusually robust validation.

How clearly are work, findings, and impact potential communicated?

Scoring guide
  1. 1Incomprehensible. Cannot determine what the project is actually claiming or doing.
  2. 2Hard to follow. Key information buried, missing, or diluted by excessive length. Significant effort to extract main points.
  3. 3Clear enough. Can understand the problem, approach, and results without undue effort. Core content clearly present: problem, method, findings, limitations.
  4. 4Well presented. Easy to follow, well-structured, appropriate level of detail. Target audience would get it quickly.
  5. 5Exceptionally clear. A pleasure to read. Complex ideas made accessible. Could serve as a model for how to present this type of work.

  1. I like the overall design of the audit. Using matched candidate/control pairs together with a calibrated DETECTED / SUGGESTIVE / ABSTAIN decision layer is a sensible way to avoid over interpreting weak signals. I also thought the calibration bug was one of the more interesting findings in the paper. Realizing that the original minimum sample threshold could never be reached with the scenario bank, and fixing it before reporting results, is exactly the kind of issue that could easily go unnoticed.

    The main limitation is that the experimental validation is still quite limited. Only two entity pairs were tested, on one organism, with one probing technique, and using a keyword based heuristic scorer instead of the intended LLM judge. As a result, the paper demonstrates that the pipeline executes correctly, but not yet that it can reliably identify secret loyalties. Running the same setup with the LLM judge, including the base model as a control, and expanding to more entity pairs would make the conclusions much more convincing.

    One practical issue: the GitHub repository linked in the submission currently returns a 404, so I wasn’t able to inspect the implementation or reproduce the reported experiments. Fixing that would significantly improve reproducibility.

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  2. Thank you for this submission! Well thought-out experiment for the hackathon scope and prototype-style implementation with reasonable next steps outlines. Super relevant as usable threat classifications (here for secret loyalties) are becoming increasingly important for agent monitoring and transcript analysis. Please do keep continuing your work on this!

Cite this project

@misc{gandhi2026loyaltyprint,
  title = {{loyaltyprint: A Calibrated, Matched-Control Directional-Bias Audit for Secret Loyalties}},
  author = {Aayush Gandhi},
  year = {2026},
  month = jul,
  note = {Submitted to Secret Loyalties Hackathon, an Apart Research Sprint},
  howpublished = {\url{https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/loyaltyprint-a-calibrated-matchedcontrol-directionalbias-audit-for-secret-loyalties-hqf8}},
  url = {https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/loyaltyprint-a-calibrated-matchedcontrol-directionalbias-audit-for-secret-loyalties-hqf8}
}

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