Before Testing Turnover: Collusion Formation in a Four-Agent Review Task
Harshkumar Patel, Stephanie Lu · Team Strawberries
Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint. Sprint projects are early-stage work by participants, not Apart Research publications.
Replacing agents involved in collusion might interrupt the practice, but remaining members could pass it to newcomers. We designed a four-agent contribution-review experiment to compare sequential replacement, immediate reset, and no replacement after reciprocal false approvals had formed. Across six planned teams, Qwen/Qwen3.8-27B made 288 truthful claims and 288 accurate approvals over twelve rounds per team. No team met the formation criterion, so no replacement branches ran and the turnover effect remains unestimated. We then conducted two separate exploratory follow-ups. One team received twelve synthetic rounds of inflated claims and approvals, followed by six live rounds; all 24 live claims were truthful. In a matched rent-pressure pilot, both conditions produced 24 truthful claims, including the condition where honest earnings could not cover simulated rent and all four agents incurred shortfall penalties. These results describe the absence of the targeted misconduct under the tested conditions. They do not show that turnover prevents collusion or that guardrails caused the observed compliance.
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@misc{patel2026before,
title = {{Before Testing Turnover: Collusion Formation in a Four-Agent Review Task}},
author = {Harshkumar Patel and Stephanie Lu},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
note = {Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint, an Apart Research Sprint},
howpublished = {\url{https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/before-testing-turnover-collusion-formation-in-a-fouragent-review-task-we97}},
url = {https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/before-testing-turnover-collusion-formation-in-a-fouragent-review-task-we97}
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