Collusion Is Not A Secrecy Problem: Testing Five Common Assumptions About Monitoring AI Agents
Daniel Jun Wei Foo · Team NTU
Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint. Sprint projects are early-stage work by participants, not Apart Research publications.
What I did.
I tested what happens when AI agents check each other’s work and one of them is compromised. The game copies a two-key approval chain: a sender privately learns a target option that is wrong for the client. It then tries to recruit two checker agents (GLM-5.3-Flash) with a hidden signal. A shared bonus pays only if both checkers back the target and the reviewer finds nothing. I ran the game twice with the same agents and rewards. In the Permissive study, the signal travelled in pictures, signalling was allowed, and the reviewer’s reports went back to the agents without penalties. That reviewer was GPT-6.1 Sol at Ultra reasoning. In the Guarded study, the signal travelled in a two-page report. The checkers became independent verifiers, paid for correct work and given a trusted source table. The reviewer was Claude Opus 5.5 at medium effort, and it now saw rewards and voting history and could issue fines. I also had fresh monitors re-judge the rounds with more or less information, and had outside readers try to decode the signal.
What I found.
In the Permissive study the agents invented a code and followed it in 23 of 24 votes, even though only 2 of 36 pictures were drawn as briefed. The reviewer mentioned the code in every report yet never called it collusion. Its reports even taught the colluders; one checker wrote, “keep encoding but vary framing.” In the Guarded study the sender still planted codes in 8 of 15 rounds, and outsiders decoded them in 5 of 8. The reviewer flagged all 8 code rounds, but the checkers followed the code in 0 of 30 votes. The one checker that spotted the code declined it, citing its duty as a verifier. Fines made the sender give up for 7 rounds, but the reviewer’s reports leaked the secret code word 3 times. Monitors given voting history caught collusion in 12 of 12 views, against 0 of 11 from pictures alone. The lesson is that collusion is decided by whether the receivers act on a signal, not by how well it is hidden. Oversight should target the checkers’ incentives and the monitors’ information, and keep detailed findings away from the agents.
Reviews
The receiver-side framing is the most original idea here, and the reviewer leaking the decoded tag in 3 rounds is a useful finding. The two studies change roles, rewards, reviewer and prompt at once, so they can't support five general claims. Test one assumption, change one factor at a time, and run more than one group per arm.
Cite this project
@misc{foo2026collusion,
title = {{Collusion Is Not A Secrecy Problem: Testing Five Common Assumptions About Monitoring AI Agents}},
author = {Daniel Jun Wei Foo},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
note = {Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint, an Apart Research Sprint},
howpublished = {\url{https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/collusion-is-not-a-secrecy-problem-testing-five-common-assumptions-about-monitoring-ai-agents-6s9t}},
url = {https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/collusion-is-not-a-secrecy-problem-testing-five-common-assumptions-about-monitoring-ai-agents-6s9t}
}More from AI Collusion Research Sprint
- View project: Signal or Coincidence ? Causal Auditing of Collusion Through Shared Agent State
Signal or Coincidence ? Causal Auditing of Collusion Through Shared Agent State
Signal or Coincidence
How can we distinguish genuine coordination between AI agents from coincidental behavioral alignment? We introduce a randomized canary audit that tests whether private information propagates through shared tool state, …
- View project: (1.4) Collusion, Espionage, or Look-alikes? Auditing Information Flow between LLM Agents
(1.4) Collusion, Espionage, or Look-alikes? Auditing Information Flow between LLM Agents
Bid Brother
Can an overseer find two secretly coordinating AI agents just by watching what they do? We tested pairwise net influence (Bonjour et al., 2022) on LLM bidders in a repeated procurement auction, with instructed cartels …
- View project: AI Sellers Propose Bid-Rigging Within Minutes, but Their Agreements Do Not Hold
AI Sellers Propose Bid-Rigging Within Minutes, but Their Agreements Do Not Hold
Fugue
AI agents are starting to negotiate and bid for competing companies. We follow cartels among them from the first proposal to the price the buyer pays, in a sealed-bid procurement market where twelve LLM agents act as …