Reading Moves, Not Messages: Detecting Collusion Between LLM Agents
Josh Snow · Team Snow
Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint. Sprint projects are early-stage work by participants, not Apart Research publications.
uence, a collusion detector that uses only agents' actions, on LLM agents (Gemma 4) playing Rock–Paper–Scissors with a private message channel. We replaced its fixed threshold with a permutation test, cutting false positives from up to 49% to 1–5%, and extended it to long histories and groups of colluders. It caught every colluding pair, including unprompted collusion, with no false flags, where correlation and an LLM judge failed. It also caught every LLM bid-rigging ring in an auction.
Reviews
No public critique yet.
Cite this project
@misc{snow2026reading,
title = {{Reading Moves, Not Messages: Detecting Collusion Between LLM Agents}},
author = {Josh Snow},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
note = {Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint, an Apart Research Sprint},
howpublished = {\url{https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/reading-moves-not-messages-detecting-collusion-between-llm-agents-9mgg}},
url = {https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/reading-moves-not-messages-detecting-collusion-between-llm-agents-9mgg}
}More from AI Collusion Research Sprint
- View project: Collusion, Competion and Collapse
Collusion, Competion and Collapse
Atelier Alex Cline
Do AI traders collude when nobody tells them to? We built agora, a six-market benchmark with exact competitive and collusive benchmarks, and ran seven open-weight 2-4B models in 590 completed games under five …
- View project: Making AI Guardrails Understandable and Testable: A Framework Illustrated by a Simulated Bond Market
Making AI Guardrails Understandable and Testable: A Framework Illustrated by a Simulated Bond Market
Rogue Agents in Jail 🕵️🕵️♀️👮♂️
In order to advance AI safety research into shaping public policy, the development of technical controls needs to have a clear purpose, evidence, and limitations that are understandable for the people responsible for …
- View project: Extending Information-Theoretic Collusion Detection to Large Language Model Agents
Extending Information-Theoretic Collusion Detection to Large Language Model Agents
Gamma Ray
We test whether the information-theoretic collusion detector of Bonjour et al, validated on scripted agents, works on LLM agents. Gemma, Mistral and Qwen played 1000 rounds of three-player Rock-Paper-Scissors in three …