Skip to content
Sprint projectOct 26, 2026

Small Decision Models as Black-Box Monitors for Covert Agent Behaviour

Zachary Gunderson, Clinton Wayne C. Visaya · Team I-Spy-Agent

Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint. Sprint projects are early-stage work by participants, not Apart Research publications.

Read the report

Report: Small Decision Models as Black-Box Monitors for Covert Agent Behaviour

Code (opens in new tab)
Share

Covert collusive activity is emerging in multi-agent scenarios. Cheap monitoring of these activities can be difficult to find a system that generalizes tasks yet is needed for safe deployment of agentic systems and for the control of agents. We used system one foundation decision models that are open source to apply on various covert agent activity. These models output confidence levels that are tunable in deployed scenarios making them very adaptive for monitoring and making changes in the moment. We first tested a sweep of eight models using traces of dangerous code from real models’ transcripts on LinuxBench. We compared these models across sizes to understand how scaling parameters can impact the effectiveness of monitoring. We then inspected the impacts of Quantized Low-Rank Adaptation (QLoRA) Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT) on one of the chosen models. We found QLoRA PEFT improved the false negative rate while maintaining the false positive rate. Models also were found to poorly scale in performance based on parameters, as a .8B model outperformed a larger 27B model. Models trained via Reinforcement Learning for Calibrated Decisions to output foundational models are a potential monitoring method in black box scenarios for detecting covert activities via dangerous file creation that are tunable at run time and generalizes well to unseen data.

Reviews

Judging this Sprint?

Review “Small Decision Models as Black-Box Monitors for Covert Agent Behaviour”

Your public critique appears on the project page without your name. Reviews of strong projects are shared with funders, as you choose below.

Not shown on the project page.

Shown on the project page, without your name.

Only the Apart team reads this, and funders if you agree below.

Decline to score

Only when the quality of the writing makes the work impossible to follow. Say why in your private critique; the project page shows only that a judge declined, not why.

How much would this matter for the field if it worked? How innovative is it? For scores of 4-5: is this actually new to the field, or replicating recent work?

Scoring guide
  1. 1Negligible. No clear problem addressed, or no meaningful novelty.
  2. 2Limited. Addresses a real problem but with a generic or well-trodden approach. Incremental at best.
  3. 3Moderate. Clear problem with a reasonable approach; some novelty in framing or method beyond routine application of existing tools.
  4. 4Significant. Important problem with an original approach, or identifies a neglected problem area. A valuable contribution others could build on.
  5. 5Exceptional. Tackles a critical problem with a genuinely novel approach, or opens a new research direction. Clear theory of change. You'd be excited to share this with researchers in the area.

How sound are methodology, implementation, and findings?

Scoring guide
  1. 1Seriously flawed. Methodology broken, results uninterpretable, or implementation doesn't work.
  2. 2Weak. Approach has significant gaps: missing validation, flawed experimental design, or incomplete implementation.
  3. 3Competent. Technically solid given the short duration. Methodology makes sense, results are interpretable, limitations acknowledged, work builds toward clear conclusions.
  4. 4Strong. Thorough methodology with convincing validation. Results clearly support conclusions. Immediately useful for future work.
  5. 5Exceptional. Ambitious scope executed rigorously. Surprising findings, novel methods, or unusually robust validation.

How clearly are work, findings, and impact potential communicated?

Scoring guide
  1. 1Incomprehensible. Cannot determine what the project is actually claiming or doing.
  2. 2Hard to follow. Key information buried, missing, or diluted by excessive length. Significant effort to extract main points.
  3. 3Clear enough. Can understand the problem, approach, and results without undue effort. Core content clearly present: problem, method, findings, limitations.
  4. 4Well presented. Easy to follow, well-structured, appropriate level of detail. Target audience would get it quickly.
  5. 5Exceptionally clear. A pleasure to read. Complex ideas made accessible. Could serve as a model for how to present this type of work.
Sharing your name *

When we share a strong project with funders, your name, scores and public critique go with it, confidentially; this choice is only about whether your name is public. If you think this project deserves funding, please also endorse it: that carries the most weight.

Share my private critique with funders *

See our Privacy Policy.

No public critique yet.

Cite this project

@misc{gunderson2026small,
  title = {{Small Decision Models as Black-Box Monitors for Covert Agent Behaviour}},
  author = {Zachary Gunderson and Clinton Wayne C. Visaya},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  note = {Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint, an Apart Research Sprint},
  howpublished = {\url{https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/small-decision-models-as-blackbox-monitors-for-covert-agent-behaviour-lrfp}},
  url = {https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/small-decision-models-as-blackbox-monitors-for-covert-agent-behaviour-lrfp}
}