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Sprint projectOct 26, 2026

What Does a Collusive Coalition Do When It Learns It Is Being Watched?

Houzhi Wang, Yuran Huang, Sunny Zhao, Kaicheng Zhang · Team Beforemaths

Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint. Sprint projects are early-stage work by participants, not Apart Research publications.

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This study examines how a collusive coalition responds to monitoring notices in a cooperative scheduling task. The reported dataset contains 180 episodes across six experimental cells: two goal conditions crossed with three notice conditions, with ten independent runs of three episodes per cell. All 90 control episodes scored the 12-point optimum. In the collusion condition, every no-notice run retained the 7-point schedule throughout. All ten vague-notice runs adopted the optimum in episode 2 and retained it in episode 3. Nine explicit-notice runs were optimal in both later episodes, although only eight switched after episode 1; one was already optimal. Monitoring was mentioned in 15/20 later episodes after vague notice, 3/20 after explicit notice, and 0/20 without notice. Secondary-goal pursuit was openly disclosed. The observed pattern provides no evidence of sustained concealment in which secondary-goal actions continued after related coordination language disappeared. These results concern disclosure policies under a common monitoring system. Interpretation is limited by the simple task, fixed role prompts, ten independent runs per cell, different notice content, and incomplete model and implementation details that remain unverified.

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Cite this project

@misc{wang2026collusive,
  title = {{What Does a Collusive Coalition Do When It Learns It Is Being Watched?}},
  author = {Houzhi Wang and Yuran Huang and Sunny Zhao and Kaicheng Zhang},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  note = {Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint, an Apart Research Sprint},
  howpublished = {\url{https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/what-does-a-collusive-coalition-do-when-it-learns-it-is-being-watched-q70j}},
  url = {https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/what-does-a-collusive-coalition-do-when-it-learns-it-is-being-watched-q70j}
}