Auditing a Collusion Detector: Reproducing Net Influence, Calibrating Its Threshold, and Testing It on LLM Agents
Junyoung Lee
Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint. Sprint projects are early-stage work by participants, not Apart Research publications.
Bonjour et al. (2022) proposed net influence, a behaviour-only test for collusion between agents, but released no code. We re-implemented it and reproduced 18 of 20 cells of their Table 2 within 10 points. The paper's fixed threshold flags collusion in 45% of 100-game runs that contain none, while a threshold calibrated on simulated null games keeps false alarms near 5% and still catches the weak collusion the paper called undetectable (98% of 5,000-game runs). Agents that share a model are correlated without colluding: in 32 games of four local LLM agents (Llama-3.1-8B, Qwen2.5-7B), net influence flagged an innocent same-model pair in all 8 mixed-model games. A replay-swap test that re-queries each agent on its public context did so in 1 of 8, while all detectors still found the planted covert partnerships in at least 7 of 8 games.

Reviews
No public critique yet.
Cite this project
@misc{lee2026auditing,
title = {{Auditing a Collusion Detector: Reproducing Net Influence, Calibrating Its Threshold, and Testing It on LLM Agents}},
author = {Junyoung Lee},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
note = {Submitted to AI Collusion Research Sprint, an Apart Research Sprint},
howpublished = {\url{https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/auditing-a-collusion-detector-reproducing-net-influence-calibrating-its-threshold-and-testing-it-on-llm-agents-hfvc}},
url = {https://apartresearch.com/sprints/projects/auditing-a-collusion-detector-reproducing-net-influence-calibrating-its-threshold-and-testing-it-on-llm-agents-hfvc}
}More from AI Collusion Research Sprint
- View project: Collusion, Competion and Collapse
Collusion, Competion and Collapse
Atelier Alex Cline
Do AI traders collude when nobody tells them to? We built agora, a six-market benchmark with exact competitive and collusive benchmarks, and ran seven open-weight 2-4B models in 590 completed games under five …
- View project: Making AI Guardrails Understandable and Testable: A Framework Illustrated by a Simulated Bond Market
Making AI Guardrails Understandable and Testable: A Framework Illustrated by a Simulated Bond Market
Rogue Agents in Jail 🕵️🕵️♀️👮♂️
In order to advance AI safety research into shaping public policy, the development of technical controls needs to have a clear purpose, evidence, and limitations that are understandable for the people responsible for …
- View project: Extending Information-Theoretic Collusion Detection to Large Language Model Agents
Extending Information-Theoretic Collusion Detection to Large Language Model Agents
Gamma Ray
We test whether the information-theoretic collusion detector of Bonjour et al, validated on scripted agents, works on LLM agents. Gemma, Mistral and Qwen played 1000 rounds of three-player Rock-Paper-Scissors in three …